JORGEN RANDERS 2052 PDF

I don't know the overall calibre of the attendees at this meetingone must assume that they are of a high academic level That's probably the USA and Saudi Arabia, both mired in religiousity, convinced that their god will never all them t come to harm and they have a right to infinite prosperity. Randers' lecture appears to suggest a calm orderly decline towards the s I'd guess we'll be lucky to get past without global meltdown on the Syrian scale. The current Mid east conflagration is just a dress rehearsal As shortages are perceived, even if Randers is right and they are slight, fighting over them will be inevitable.

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Jorgen Randers is professor of climate strategy at the BI Norwegian Business School, where he works on climate issues and scenario analysis. He lectures internationally on sustainable development and especially climate, and is a non-executive member of several corporate boards.

Forty years ago, The Limits to Growth study addressed the grand question of how humans would adapt to the physical limitations of planet Earth. It predicted that during the first half of the 21st century the ongoing growth in the human ecological footprint would stop-either through catastrophic "overshoot and collapse"-or through well-managed "peak and decline. And what does our future look like? In the book , Jorgen Randers, one of the co-authors of Limits to Growth , issues a progress report and makes a forecast for the next forty years.

To do this, he asked dozens of experts to weigh in with their best predictions on how our economies, energy supplies, natural resources, climate, food, fisheries, militaries, political divisions, cities, psyches, and more will take shape in the coming decades.

He then synthesized those scenarios into a global forecast of life as we will most likely know it in the years ahead. The good news: we will see impressive advances in resource efficiency, and an increasing focus on human well-being rather than on per capita income growth.

But this change might not come as we expect. Future growth in population and GDP, for instance, will be constrained in surprising ways-by rapid fertility decline as result of increased urbanization, productivity decline as a result of social unrest, and continuing poverty among the poorest 2 billion world citizens.

Runaway global warming, too, is likely. So, how do we prepare for the years ahead? With heart, fact, and wisdom, Randers guides us along a realistic path into the future and discusses what readers can do to ensure a better life for themselves and their children during the increasing turmoil of the next forty years.

Five Big Issues toward Population and Consumption to Energy and CO2 to Food and Footprint to The Nonmaterial Future to The Zeitgeist in Reflections on the Future. Five Regional Futures. Comparison with Other Futures. What Should You Do? Worrying about the Future. Closing Words.

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2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years

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Jorgen Randers is professor of climate strategy at the BI Norwegian Business School, where he works on climate issues and scenario analysis. He lectures internationally on sustainable development and especially climate, and is a non-executive member of several corporate boards. Forty years ago, The Limits to Growth study addressed the grand question of how humans would adapt to the physical limitations of planet Earth. It predicted that during the first half of the 21st century the ongoing growth in the human ecological footprint would stop-either through catastrophic "overshoot and collapse"-or through well-managed "peak and decline. And what does our future look like?

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It differs in three ways from the previous report. First, it does not describe an impending disaster scenario, but shows only trends. Secondly, it is to be read in the light of experience since , namely, that all of humanity has responded to the report, but with a delay of 20 to 40 years. Thirdly, it offers not only future scenarios, it makes concrete proposals on how the individual should respond to emerging developments.

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